Azoba yini ama-smartphones amanje emashumini eminyaka ezayo? Ingabe sinalo ithuba lokuphila kuze kube iminyaka engu-150? Ingabe odokotela ekugcineni bangawunqoba umdlavuza? Ngabe sizobona i-capitalism efanelekile empilweni yethu? Mayelana nakho konke lokhu isazi sefiziksi esicatshangelwayo nesithandwa kakhulu yisayensi uMichio Kaku wabuza ososayensi abangaphezu kuka-300 abahamba phambili emhlabeni wonke. Umbhali wabathengisi abaningi usanda kufika yena mathupha eMoscow ngeForamu ye-III ye-Social Innovations of the Regions ukuze asitshele ukuthi yini esilindele esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.
1.Umuthi nempilo
1. Kakade ngo-2050, sizokwazi ukunqoba umkhawulo ojwayelekile weminyaka yokuphila, silwela ukuphila iminyaka eyi-150 nangaphezulu. Ososayensi bathembisa ukunciphisa ukuguga ngezindlela ezihlukahlukene. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ukwelapha nge-stem cell, ukushintshwa kwezingxenye zomzimba, nokwelashwa ngofuzo ukulungisa nokulungisa izakhi zofuzo eziguga.
2. Enye yezindawo ezithembisa kakhulu ekwandiseni iminyaka yokuphila ukushintshwa kwezitho ezigugile. Odokotela bazokhula izitho emangqamuzaneni emizimba yethu, futhi umzimba ngeke uzenqabe. Kakade, uqwanga, imithambo yegazi nemithambo yegazi, isikhumba, amathambo, esinyeni sikhula ngempumelelo, izitho eziyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu zilandelana—isibindi nobuchopho (ngokusobala, kuzothatha isikhathi eside ukuxoxa nososayensi wokugcina) .
3. Umuthi wesikhathi esizayo ubikezela impi ephumelelayo yokulwa nezifo eziningi, isibonelo, ngokumelene nesitha sethu esikhulu kunazo zonke - umdlavuza. Manje ngokuvamile itholakala kakade ezigabeni eziyingozi, lapho amangqamuzana omdlavuza ebalelwa ezigidini ngisho nezigidigidi.
Amadivayisi amancane angathatha amasampula e-biopsies futhi enze nokuhlinzwa okuncane
Ngokuzayo, i-futurist ithi, kuzokwazi ukubona amaseli awodwa. Futhi ngisho nodokotela ngeke akwenze lokhu, kodwa ... isitsha sendlu yangasese (yedijithali, kunjalo). Ifakwe izinzwa nesofthiwe, izohlola izimpawu zesimila futhi ithole amangqamuzana omdlavuza ngamanye eminyakeni eyishumi ngaphambi kokwakheka kwesimila.
4. Ama-Nanoparticles azokhomba futhi abhubhise amangqamuzana omdlavuza afanayo, alethe umuthi lapho kuhloswe khona. Imishini emincane izokwazi ukuthatha izithombe zezindawo ezidingwa odokotela abahlinzayo ngaphakathi, ithathe “amasampula” e-biopsy, ngisho nokwenza ukuhlinzwa okuncane.
5. Ngo-2100, ososayensi bangakwazi ukuguqula inqubo yokuguga ngokuvula izindlela zokulungisa amangqamuzana, bese isikhathi sokuphila komuntu sikhuphuka izikhathi eziningana. Ngokombono, lokhu bekuyosho ukungafi. Uma ososayensi benweba ngempela ukuphila kwethu, abanye bethu bangaphila ukuze bakubone.
I-2. Ubuchwepheshe
1. Maye, ukuthembela kwethu kumagajethi kuzoba okuphelele. Amakhompyutha azosizungeza yonke indawo. Ngokunembile, lawa ngeke esaba amakhompyutha ngomqondo wamanje - ama-chips edijithali azoba mancane kangangokuthi angakwazi ukulingana, isibonelo, kumalensi. Uyacwayiza — bese ufaka i-inthanethi. Elula kakhulu: enkonzweni yakho lonke ulwazi mayelana nomzila, noma yimuphi umcimbi, abantu abasensimini yakho yombono.
Izingane zesikole nabafundi ngeke kudingeke babambe ngekhanda izinombolo nezinsuku - kungani, uma kukhona ulwazi oseluvele lukhona kubo? Uhlelo lwezemfundo kanye neqhaza likathisha kuzoshintsha kakhulu.
2. Ubuchwepheshe kanye nombono wamagajethi uzoshintsha. Ngeke sisadinga ukuthenga i-smartphone, ithebhulethi kanye nekhompyutha ephathekayo. Ubuchwepheshe besikhathi esizayo (ikhompuyutha efanayo ye-quantum noma idivayisi esekelwe ku-graphene) buzokwenza kube nokwenzeka ukwaneliseka ngomshini wendawo yonke oguquguqukayo owembulekayo, kuye ngesifiso sethu, kusukela kokuncane kuya ku-gigantic.
3. Eqinisweni, yonke indawo yangaphandle izoba yidijithali. Ikakhulukazi, ngosizo lwe-«katoms» - ama-computer chips alingana nohlamvu oluncane lwesihlabathi, olunamandla okuheha omunye nomunye, ukuguqula ukushaja kagesi okumile ngomyalo wethu (manje abadali bama-catoms basebenza ekwenzeni i-miniaturization yabo. ). Ngokufanelekile, zingakhiwa kunoma yikuphi ukuma. Lokhu kusho ukuthi sizokwazi ukushintsha kalula imodeli eyodwa yomshini iye kwenye, ngokumane sihlele kabusha izinto ezithi «smart».
Kuyokwanela ukunikeza ukusheshisa, futhi izimoto ezinezitimela zizokhuphuka ngokushesha ngaphezu kobuso bomhlaba.
Yebo, futhi ngoNyaka Omusha, akudingeki sithengele abathandekayo izipho ezintsha. Kuyoba okwanele ukuthenga nokufaka uhlelo olukhethekile, futhi udaba ngokwalo luzoguqulwa, lube ithoyizi elisha, ifenisha, izinto zasendlini. Ungakwazi futhi ukuhlela kabusha isithombe sangemuva.
4. Emashumini eminyaka azayo, ubuchwepheshe be-3D buzoba yinto yonke. Noma yini ingaphrintwa kalula. “Sizo-oda imidwebo yezinto ezidingekayo bese siyiphrinta kuphrinta ye-3D,” kusho uprofesa. - Kungaba izingxenye, amathoyizi, amateki - noma yini. Izilinganiso zakho zizothathwa futhi ngenkathi uphuza itiye, amateki emodeli ekhethiwe azophrintwa. Izitho nazo zizophrintwa.
5. Ukuthutha okuthembisayo kakhulu kwesikhathi esizayo ku-cushion magnetic. Uma ososayensi bekwazi ukusungula ama-superconductors asebenza ekamelweni lokushisa (futhi konke kuya kulokhu), sizoba nemigwaqo nezimoto ezinkulukazi. Kuyokwanela ukunikeza ukusheshisa, futhi izimoto ezinezitimela zizokhuphuka ngokushesha ngaphezu kobuso bomhlaba. Ngisho nangaphambili, izimoto zizohlakanipha futhi zingabi namuntu, zivumele abashayeli babagibeli ukuba benze ibhizinisi labo.
3. Ubungcweti besikhathi esizayo
1. I-Robotization yeplanethi ayinakugwenywa, kodwa ngeke kube yi-androids. Emashumini eminyaka azayo, ukuthuthukiswa kwezinhlelo zochwepheshe kubikezelwa - isibonelo, ukuvela kwe-robo-doctor noma ummeli we-robo. Ake sithi unesisu esibuhlungu, uphendukela esikrinini se-Inthanethi bese uphendula imibuzo ye-robodoctor: kubuhlungu kuphi, kangaki, kaningi kangakanani. Uzofunda imiphumela yokuhlaziya kusuka endlini yakho yokugezela, efakwe ama-DNA analyzer chips, futhi akhiphe i-algorithm yezenzo.
Cishe kuyoba khona amarobhothi «angokomzwelo» — ukufana mechanical of amakati nezinja, ekwazi ukuphendula imizwa yethu. Odokotela abahlinza amarobhothi, abapheki nabanye ochwepheshe bazothuthuka. Kuzophinde kube nenqubo yokuhlanganisa abantu nemishini ngokusebenzisa izitho zerobhothi, ama-exoskeleton, ama-avatar kanye namafomu afanayo. Ngokuqondene nokuvela kobuhlakani bokwenziwa, obuzodlula obumuntu, ososayensi abaningi bakuhlehlisa ukuvela kwayo ekupheleni kwekhulu leminyaka.
2. Amarobhothi kancane kancane azothatha indawo yabantu imisebenzi yabo esekelwe ekusebenzeni okuphindaphindiwe. Ubungcweti babasebenzi bomugqa kanye nazo zonke izinhlobo zabaxhumanisi - ama-broker, ama-cashier, njalo njalo - kuzoba yinto yesikhathi esedlule.
Ochwepheshe emkhakheni wobudlelwano babantu bazothola ukusetshenziswa okuhle kakhulu - izazi zokusebenza kwengqondo, othisha, abameli, abahluleli
3. Lezo zinhlobo zobungcweti zizohlala futhi zichume lapho imishini ingeke ithathe indawo yama-homo sapiens. Okokuqala, lezi zobuchwepheshe ezihlobene nokuqashelwa kwezithombe nezinto: ukuqoqwa kukadoti nokuhlunga, ukulungisa, ukwakhiwa, ukulima, izinsizakalo (isibonelo, ukulungisa izinwele), ukuqiniswa komthetho.
Okwesibili, ochwepheshe emkhakheni wobudlelwano babantu - izazi zokusebenza kwengqondo, othisha, abameli, amajaji - bazothola ukusetshenziswa okuhle kakhulu. Futhi-ke, kuzoba nesidingo sabaholi abakwazi ukuhlaziya imininingwane eminingi, benze izinqumo futhi bahole abanye.
4. “Onxiwankulu abahlakaniphile” bazochuma kakhulu — labo abakwazi ukubhala amanoveli, ukuqamba izinkondlo nezingoma, ukupenda izithombe noma ukwakha izithombe esiteji, basungule, bahlole — ngegama elilodwa, basungule futhi bathole okuthile.
5. Isintu, ngokwezibikezelo ze-futurologist, sizongena enkathini ye-capitalism ekahle: umkhiqizi nomthengi bayoba nolwazi oluphelele mayelana nemakethe, futhi amanani entengo azovunyelwa ngokuphelele. Sizozuza kakhulu kulokhu, ngoba sizothola ngokushesha lonke ulwazi mayelana nomkhiqizo (izingxenye zawo, ubusha, ukuhlobana, izindleko, izintengo ezivela kwabancintisana nabo, ukubuyekezwa kwabanye abasebenzisi). Sesisele cishe ingxenye yekhulu leminyaka ngaphambi kwalokhu.